Insight Turkey
Insight Turkey
Challenging ideas
On Turkish politics and International affairs

Insight Turkey > Articles |

The Paradoxical Role of Mediators in the Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict: Prospects and Concerns

This paper explores the underlying factors that pushed Russia, the European Union (EU), Türkiye, and somehow the U.S. to offer mediation to settle the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The eruption of the fierce clashes between Azerbaijan and Armenia ended the war that happened in 2020 when Russia brokered the ceasefire. However, Russia’s war in Ukraine was signaling renewed fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh. Hence, some actors started to step into the hostility to facilitate diplomatic efforts to lower the temperatures of the conflicting parties. Meanwhile, Azerbaijan made a military assault on Artsakh in 2023 and gained a final victory over Nagorno-Karabakh. Amid tension, the EU, Russia, and Türkiye will hold a responsible role and bring hopes that diplomacy may bring Azerbaijan and Armenia closer to peace, and an eventual settlement will ensue. The research demonstrates that a new geopolitical change has been taking place in the South Caucasus region, which is causing complexities amid some options set by the mediators.

The Paradoxical Role of Mediators in the Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict Prospects
 

 

 

 

Introduction

 

In 2020, the 44-Day War profoundly redesigned the dynamics of a protracted conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the Nagorno-Karabakh region. The final victory was made by Azerbaijan over the region in September 2023, and the ethnic Armenian population residing in the area finally set out for an exodus to Armenia. The fighting between Azerbaijan and Armenia not only impacted the two states, but ripple effects reached the neighboring states and affected the whole region. The fighting was linked to decades-old waves of anger over control of the Nagorno-Karabakh region, internationally acknowledged as an area of Azerbaijan.1 After a full-scale war in 2020, both Azerbaijan and Armenia alongside Russia, signed a tripartite declaration of the ceasefire, in which both also conceded to build a corridor to connect the territory of Azerbaijan to its exclave in Nakhchivan.2 However, Armenia has started to renege on the provisions of the agreement, generating new tension in the region.

Already have an account? Sign In.
Print Subscription
4 Print Issues
Subscribe
Digital Subscription
4 Digital Issues
Subscribe
Premium Subscription
4 Print Issues
4 Digital Issues
Subscribe

Labels »  

We use cookies in a limited and restricted manner for specific purposes. For more details, you can see "our data policy". More...